Win Your
Campaign
Faster
Political phone banking with live professional callers, priced per voter household with no hidden fees, and synthetic polling that predicts how a district moves before it moves. 1,900+ campaigns, all 50 states.
40,916 live voter conversations in 36 field days. Read the 2026 Voter Contact Benchmarks.
Free campaign tools
The math every campaign runs before the first call.
The Ballot Standard
Who should I vote for? See every candidate scored.
Every candidate for U.S. Senate, U.S. House and statewide office, scored on 15 qualities of character, qualifications and performance from public records and established reporting. The good, the bad and the unresolved, every item sourced, the same way for every party. Each race names the candidate with the strongest record.
- States published
- 42
- Races scored
- 569
New · Underdog
Everyone tells you who will win. We show how the other side can.
Precinct-level paths to victory for every candidate who starts behind: the votes they need, the places those votes live, and the odds with and without a plan. Built from official returns, 287 races so far in Minnesota, Virginia, California, Texas, Montana, Ohio, Arizona, New Mexico, Wyoming, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Colorado, Maryland, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Washington, Oregon, Michigan, Delaware, West Virginia, South Carolina, Arkansas, Nevada.
OH-07
How Max Miller wins
2% → 53%
odds today → with the plan · 32,755 net votes to find
See the path ›
Kentucky U.S. Senate
How Charles Booker wins
2% → 53%
odds today → with the plan · 148,109 net votes to find
See the path ›
NC-14
How LaKesha Womack wins
4% → 53%
odds today → with the plan · 23,891 net votes to find
See the path ›
Arizona
8 races
Arkansas
5 races
California
42 races
Colorado
9 races
Delaware
2 races
Florida
28 races
Georgia
15 races
Kentucky
7 races
Louisiana
2 races
Maryland
8 races
Michigan
14 races
Minnesota
9 races
Montana
2 races
Nevada
4 races
New Mexico
4 races
North Carolina
15 races
Ohio
16 races
Oklahoma
6 races
Oregon
7 races
South Carolina
8 races
Tennessee
10 races
Texas
39 races
Virginia
12 races
Washington
10 races
West Virginia
3 races
Wyoming
2 races
The Forecast Desk
What happens next, with the odds.
Congress, the courts, the economy, elections and conflicts abroad. Every forecast is time-stamped, sourced, locked against edits, and scored in public when it resolves.
Domestic politics
Will the Fed raise interest rates at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting?
68%LikelyCloses Oct 28, 2026 · evidence to Sep 26, 2026
Domestic politics
Will gas prices be above $4.50 a gallon on Election Day 2026?
33%UnlikelyCloses Nov 3, 2026 · evidence to Sep 26, 2026
Relations between countries
Will the U.S. and China agree to an AI incident hotline by the end of 2026?
36%UnlikelyCloses Dec 31, 2026 · evidence to Sep 26, 2026
Relations between countries
Will the U.S. or Israel strike Iranian territory again by December 31, 2026?
68%LikelyCloses Dec 31, 2026 · evidence to Sep 26, 2026
International politics
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
46%Toss-upCloses Oct 25, 2026 · evidence to Sep 26, 2026
International politics
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
45%Rebeca GrynspanCloses Dec 31, 2026 · evidence to Sep 26, 2026
Political AI Law Tracker
Using AI in a campaign ad or call? Know the law in every state.
30 of 50 states regulate AI deepfakes in political ads and 19 have no law. Exact disclaimer wording, election windows, penalties and AI robocall rules for all 50 states and DC, verified against the statutes as of October 5, 2026.
- States with a law
- 30
- AI call rules
- 44
- Laws tracked
- 152
Trusted by campaigns across America
Why The Political Group?
Three things set us apart from every other political consulting firm
AI Powered Precision
Machine learning models trained on 1,900+ campaigns identify your persuadable voters and optimize every call script in real time.
Battle Tested Experience
From school board to statewide races, 20+ years of managing entire campaigns means we know what wins and what wastes your budget.
Real Time Intelligence
Your Power Dashboard lights up as calls happen. See voter support, persuadable counts, and campaign analytics the moment they come in.
The TPG Stack
Persuasion. Plus Prediction.
Two products. One closed loop. The phone bank that makes contact and the prediction engine that proves itself.
HyperPhonebank
Professional live callers. Three attempts per voter. Real time Power Dashboard. Voter ID, persuadable counts, sentiment, all visible as the calls happen. The backbone of victory for 1,900+ campaigns.
HyperPulse
Synthetic populations of voters and consumers. Calibrated against real human data. Predict elections, test ads, run scenarios in minutes. Hybrid-AI prediction that proves itself. Everything else is static.
Phone the voters. Calibrate the model. Predict the next race more accurately than anyone else can.
For PACs, super PACs, leadership PACs and party committees
A candidate wants to win one race. A committee wants to win a slate.
Bundle your candidates for the volume rate no single campaign reaches, pay directly toward voter persuasion you track dollar by dollar, report the in-kind line per candidate, and watch every race on one dashboard. HyperPhonebank is the engine. HyperPulse reads the districts you are still weighing.
Updated weekly
PAC Spend Tracker 2026
Which super PACs and leadership PACs are spending the most, by party, state and race, from FEC filings.
From FEC data
Committee profiles
One page for every PAC, super PAC, leadership PAC and party committee with real 2026 activity. Claim yours.
Guide
Reporting phone banking as an in-kind contribution
What a clean, itemized per-candidate report looks like.
HyperPulse
Read every district before you commit a dollar
AI polling for the allocation problem, calibrated by real voter contact.
Explore the site
Tools, research, every state, thousands of committee profiles, and the news. All free.
Underdog
How the candidate who is behind can still win
Precinct-level paths to victory with live odds, starting with every Minnesota federal race.
Free tools
Win number, GOTV volume, phone bank cost, PAC bundle
Answer-first calculators with the formula shown.
Research
PAC spend tracker and 2026 voter contact benchmarks
Real filings and 1.2 million real dials, free to cite.
2026 elections
Every state's ballot, deadlines and calling rates
50 state pages plus the verified 2026 calendar.
PAC hub
Bundling, in-kind reporting and committee profiles
Thousands of PACs, super PACs and party committees, from FEC data.
HyperPulse
AI polling that reads a district in hours
Calibrated against real voters from the phone program.
News and guides
Phone banking, campaigning, elections, AI in politics
Several articles a day, by topic.
Our Services
Winning voter support faster is our profession
AI Campaign Engine
Out think. Out speed. Out win. Our AI engine analyzes voter data, optimizes call scripts, and identifies persuadable targets in real time.
Learn more→HyperPhonebank
The backbone of victory. Professional live callers making persuasion calls with real time analytics and voter identification dashboards.
Learn more→Turnout Surge
Mobilize or lose. Targeted GOTV calls to your identified supporters with multi attempt strategies and callback queues.
Learn more→Victory Math
Know your number. Control your destiny. Data driven voter universe modeling and win number calculations that guide your strategy.
Learn more→News Intelligence
AI curated political intelligence
The 2026 Midterms: Big Money, AI Influence, and the Battle for Battleground States
The 2026 Midterm Map Is Shifting Under Both Parties' Feet, and the Ground Game Has Never Mattered More
The First True AI Election Is Here, and Campaigns Are Rewriting the Playbook
They delivered results from day one. The dashboard alone changed how we ran the campaign. We could see in real time which voters were persuadable and adjust our message accordingly.
Your Opponents Are Calling Voters.
Are You?
Every day without calls is a day your opponent gains ground. Get us on your team and start winning voter support today.
San Antonio, TX · get in touch